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Wednesday, November 17, 2004
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Return To Storage For Grain Sorghum Basis and Cash Prices from March Futures Southeast Missouri Cash Prices |
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| The tables give the returns from on farm storage based on changes in basis and cash prices from October 1 to December 1 through March 1. The returns are in cents per bushel based on 8.0% interest and 1 cent per month for on farm storage. | |
| Grain Sorghum Basis - October 1 | Grain Sorghum Cash Prices - October 1 |
Grain Sorghum Basis - October 1
| Return to Storage From Change in Basis | |||||||
| SEMO Cash Grain Sorghum Barge Prices 10/1* | |||||||
| March Futures | |||||||
| 12/1 | 12/15 | 1/1 | 1/15 | 2/1 | 2/15 | 3/1 | |
| Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | |
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | |
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | |
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage |
| ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |
| 2003-04 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 0 | -2 | -7 |
| 2002-03 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 2001-02 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| 2000-01 | 28 | 30 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 31 |
| 1999-00 | 32 | 40 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 1998-99 | 35 | 37 | 38 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 35 |
| 1997-98 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 1996-97 | -10 | -9 | -10 | -8 | -12 | -11 | -19 |
| 1995-96 | 25 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 6 |
| 1994-95 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 19 | 26 | 19 | 16 |
| 1993-94 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 22 |
| 1992-93 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 1991-92 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 24 |
| 1990-91 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 16 |
| 1989-90 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 1988-89 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 23 |
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ |
| 16 Yr Ave | 18 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 Yr Ave | 21 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 7 Yr Ave | 24 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 Yr Ave | 25 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 3 Yr Ave | 22 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Grain Sorghum Cash Prices - October 1
| Return to Storage From Change in Cash Price | |||||||
| SEMO Cash Grain Sorghum Barge Prices 10/1* | |||||||
| 12/1 | 12/15 | 1/1 | 1/15 | 2/1 | 2/15 | 3/1 | |
| Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | |
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | |
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | |
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage |
| ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |
| 2003-04 | 51 | 38 | 33 | 45 | 42 | 53 | 60 |
| 2002-03 | -2 | -9 | -12 | -26 | -23 | -24 | -28 |
| 2001-02 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5 | -9 | -11 | -11 |
| 2000-01 | 39 | 37 | 49 | 39 | 35 | 35 | 37 |
| 1999-00 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 34 | 35 | 33 | 29 |
| 1998-99 | 47 | 43 | 36 | 40 | 41 | 37 | 24 |
| 1997-98 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 22 | 9 | 8 |
| 1996-97 | -47 | -48 | -54 | -37 | -45 | -31 | -19 |
| 1995-96 | 37 | 37 | 62 | 32 | 51 | 63 | 64 |
| 1994-95 | 22 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 26 | 24 |
| 1993-94 | 58 | 60 | 72 | 65 | 59 | 59 | 56 |
| 1992-93 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 2 | -1 | -3 | -3 |
| 1991-92 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 28 |
| 1990-91 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 1989-90 | -1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | -9 | -5 | -2 |
| 1988-89 | -15 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ |
| 16 Yr Ave | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 Yr Ave | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 Yr Ave | 27 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
| 5 Yr Ave | 24 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| 3 Yr Ave | 21 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
David Reinbott
reinbottd@missouri.edu
Agriculture Business Specialist
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David Reinbott, reinbottd@missouri.edu Farm Management Specialist Last modified: November 17, 2004 |