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Tuesday, November 16, 2004
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Return To Storage For Corn Basis and Cash Prices from July Futures Southeast Missouri Cash Prices |
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| The tables give the returns from on farm storage based on changes in basis and cash prices from September 1 and September 15 to December 1 through July 1. The returns are in cents per bushel based on 8.0% interest and 1 cent per month for on farm storage. | |
| Corn Basis - September 1 | Corn Cash Prices - September 1 |
| Corn Basis - September 15 | Corn Cash Prices - September 15 |
| Return to Storage From Change in Basis | |||||||||||||
| SEMO Cash Corn Barge Prices 9/1* | |||||||||||||
| July Futures | |||||||||||||
| 12/1 | 1/1 | 2/1 | 3/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 | 7/1 | |||||||
| Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | |||||||
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | |||||||
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | |||||||
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | ||||||
| ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||||||
| 2003-04 | 10 | 5 | -1 | -5 | -16 | -12 | -6 | ||||||
| 2002-03 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | -3 | ||||||
| 2001-02 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 25 | ||||||
| 2000-01 | 24 | 36 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 38 | ||||||
| 1999-00 | 31 | 36 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 14 | 19 | ||||||
| 1998-99 | 29 | 38 | 40 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 25 | ||||||
| 1997-98 | -7 | -5 | -11 | -12 | -12 | -9 | -7 | ||||||
| 1996-97 | -26 | -26 | -22 | -37 | -49 | -44 | -56 | ||||||
| 1995-96 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 24 | 6 | -43 | ||||||
| 1994-95 | -4 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2 | 0 | 2 | ||||||
| 1993-94 | -2 | -6 | -4 | -10 | -9 | -11 | -16 | ||||||
| 1992-93 | -15 | -11 | -14 | -11 | -5 | -8 | -10 | ||||||
| 1991-92 | -10 | -7 | -7 | -10 | -9 | -11 | -10 | ||||||
| 1990-91 | -13 | -11 | -14 | -16 | -17 | -14 | -16 | ||||||
| 1989-90 | 2 | 1 | -9 | -9 | -7 | -13 | -23 | ||||||
| 1988-89 | -7 | -3 | -7 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -7 | ||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ||||||
| 16 Yr Ave | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6 | ||||||
| 10 Yr Ave | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | -1 | ||||||
| 7 Yr Ave | 17 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 13 | ||||||
| 5 Yr Ave | 20 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 15 | ||||||
| 3 Yr Ave | 14 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | ||||||
Corn Cash Prices - September 1
| Return to Storage From Change in Cash Price | |||||||||||||
| SEMO Cash Corn Barge Prices 9/1* | |||||||||||||
| 12/1 | 1/1 | 2/1 | 3/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 | 7/1 | |||||||
| Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | |||||||
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | |||||||
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | |||||||
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | ||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ||||||
| 2003-04 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 51 | 66 | 62 | 2 | ||||||
| 2002-03 | -25 | -29 | -29 | -34 | -35 | -46 | -54 | ||||||
| 2001-02 | 5 | -5 | -8 | -13 | -17 | -25 | 7 | ||||||
| 2000-01 | 40 | 57 | 32 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 8 | ||||||
| 1999-00 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 18 | 23 | 17 | -39 | ||||||
| 1998-99 | 42 | 37 | 37 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 0 | ||||||
| 1997-98 | -3 | -19 | -12 | -19 | -39 | -47 | -56 | ||||||
| 1996-97 | -108 | -117 | -110 | -90 | -89 | -101 | -167 | ||||||
| 1995-96 | 45 | 78 | 77 | 102 | 124 | 168 | 192 | ||||||
| 1994-95 | -12 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 35 | ||||||
| 1993-94 | 35 | 52 | 42 | 36 | 16 | 10 | -19 | ||||||
| 1992-93 | -22 | -22 | -25 | -21 | -9 | -15 | -19 | ||||||
| 1991-92 | -18 | -15 | 3 | 3 | -13 | -27 | -26 | ||||||
| 1990-91 | -17 | -21 | -11 | -9 | -7 | -16 | -40 | ||||||
| 1989-90 | -2 | 0 | -11 | -1 | 11 | 23 | 24 | ||||||
| 1988-89 | -35 | -16 | -26 | -24 | -43 | -29 | -38 | ||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ||||||
| 16 Yr Ave | -3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -12 | ||||||
| 10 Yr Ave | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 | -7 | ||||||
| 7 Yr Ave | 11 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 0 | -19 | ||||||
| 5 Yr Ave | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 5 | -15 | ||||||
| 3 Yr Ave | -2 | -7 | -3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -15 | ||||||
| Return to Storage From Change in Basis | |||||||||||||||
| SEMO Cash Corn Barge Prices 9/15* | |||||||||||||||
| July Futures | |||||||||||||||
| 12/1 | 1/1 | 2/1 | 3/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 | 6/1 | 7/1 | ||||||||
| Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | Basis | ||||||||
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | ||||||||
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | ||||||||
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | |||||||
| ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ||||||||
| 2003-04 | 14 | 8 | 3 | -2 | -12 | -8 | 1 | -2 | |||||||
| 2002-03 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | -1 | |||||||
| 2001-02 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 35 | 34 | |||||||
| 2000-01 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 37 | |||||||
| 1999-00 | 26 | 31 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 14 | |||||||
| 1998-99 | 40 | 48 | 50 | 41 | 39 | 42 | 39 | 35 | |||||||
| 1997-98 | -2 | 0 | -5 | -6 | -6 | -3 | 0 | -1 | |||||||
| 1996-97 | -2 | -1 | 3 | -11 | -24 | -18 | -21 | -29 | |||||||
| 1995-96 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 9 | 6 | -40 | |||||||
| 1994-95 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |||||||
| 1993-94 | -8 | -12 | -10 | -16 | -15 | -17 | -23 | -22 | |||||||
| 1992-93 | -9 | -6 | -8 | -6 | 1 | -3 | -2 | -5 | |||||||
| 1991-92 | -4 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -2 | -4 | -3 | -3 | |||||||
| 1990-91 | -5 | -3 | -7 | -8 | -9 | -6 | -6 | -7 | |||||||
| 1989-90 | 1 | 1 | -10 | -9 | -8 | -14 | -14 | -24 | |||||||
| 1988-89 | -1 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | |||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||||||
| 16 Yr Ave | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |||||||
| 10 Yr Ave | 16 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 6 | |||||||
| 7 Yr Ave | 21 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | |||||||
| 5 Yr Ave | 21 | 23 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | |||||||
| 3 Yr Ave | 19 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10 | |||||||
Corn Cash Prices - September 15
| Return to Storage From Change in Cash Price | |||||||||||||||
| SEMO Cash Corn Barge Prices 9/15* | |||||||||||||||
| 12/1 | 1/1 | 2/1 | 3/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 | 6/1 | 7/1 | ||||||||
| Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | Cash | ||||||||
| Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | Return | ||||||||
| Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | Farm | ||||||||
| Year | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | Storage | |||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||||||
| 2003-04 | 24 | 24 | 38 | 61 | 77 | 73 | 82 | 13 | |||||||
| 2002-03 | -25 | -29 | -28 | -34 | -35 | -46 | -38 | -54 | |||||||
| 2001-02 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 1 | -2 | -10 | 0 | 22 | |||||||
| 2000-01 | 45 | 62 | 37 | 41 | 27 | 19 | 11 | 13 | |||||||
| 1999-00 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 20 | 25 | 19 | 7 | -37 | |||||||
| 1998-99 | 45 | 39 | 39 | 21 | 30 | 26 | 19 | 2 | |||||||
| 1997-98 | 8 | -8 | 0 | -7 | -27 | -35 | -44 | -44 | |||||||
| 1996-97 | -61 | -69 | -62 | -41 | -41 | -52 | -78 | -117 | |||||||
| 1995-96 | 39 | 72 | 70 | 95 | 117 | 161 | 157 | 185 | |||||||
| 1994-95 | -1 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 25 | 26 | 30 | 46 | |||||||
| 1993-94 | 25 | 42 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | -29 | |||||||
| 1992-93 | -16 | -17 | -19 | -16 | -3 | -10 | -22 | -14 | |||||||
| 1991-92 | -12 | -8 | 10 | 9 | -6 | -20 | -13 | -19 | |||||||
| 1990-91 | 1 | -3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 2 | -1 | -21 | |||||||
| 1989-90 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 17 | 27 | |||||||
| 1988-89 | -26 | -7 | -17 | -16 | -35 | -21 | -36 | -29 | |||||||
| ----- | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||||||
| 16 Yr Ave | 5 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | -4 | |||||||
| 10 Yr Ave | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 3 | |||||||
| 7 Yr Ave | 18 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 5 | -12 | |||||||
| 5 Yr Ave | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 12 | -9 | |||||||
| 3 Yr Ave | 6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 14 | -6 | |||||||
David Reinbott
reinbottd@missouri.edu
Agriculture Business Specialist
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David Reinbott, reinbottd@missouri.edu Farm Management Specialist Last modified: November 16, 2004 |