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| Volume 7,
Number 5 May 2001 |
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This Month in Ag Connection | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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[This Month in Ag Connection] [Ag Connection - Other Issues Online] Foot and Mouth Disease Market RisksLivestock markets are very sensitive to which countries have Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD). U.S. beef and pork exports have experienced rapid growth in recent years, setting new records each year. These exports have contributed to the strong meat demand and positive price outlook for the coming year. FMD in other countries potentially opens up additional export opportunities as long as the U.S. remains disease free. A U.S. FMD outbreak would immediately shut off these exports. There is no human health risk with FMD, but the perception of health concerns would negatively affect demand. The result could be sharp price declines, interruption of livestock movement and a devastating economic impact on the livestock industry. Consideration should be given to strategies to reduce market risk. Government funds available to compensate the producer for 100 percent of market value provide some protection to producers directly affected by the disease. Government programs don't provide any market price protection for other producers, regardless of the health of their animals.
The grain markets have already experienced some of the negative impacts of FMD. Large production and increasing carry over supplies have led to low grain prices. The only bright spot in grain fundamentals has been strong demand. Anything that might reduce feed demand, such as FMD, has the potential to increase carry over supply and cause market volatility--making low grain prices even lower. On March 30, corn prices opened strong and moved higher based on reduced planting intentions. Then, news of testing North Carolina hogs for a FMD like disease sent prices sharply lower at mid-day. May corn futures prices ranged more than eleven cents for the day and closed four cents lower! Soybean prices also reacted negatively to the news. The market loan and Loan Deficiency Payment (LDP) offer some new crop price protection. Using cash market contracts, futures hedges or buying put options would offer additional protection for new crop corn prices that are above loan prices. Remaining old crop supplies are also at risk, especially if the LDP has already been claimed. Selling old crop cash grain and re-owning on paper continues to look like the better strategy. The threat of FMD adds marketing risk for both livestock and crop producers. While no marketing strategy is perfect for this situation, there are marketing tools that could help manage FMD associated risks. To be effective, they should be in place before an outbreak occurs. The greater the leverage in your operation, the greater the need to protect the current level of livestock prices. (Author: Melvin Brees, Farm Management Specialist) [This Month in Ag Connection] [Ag Connection - Other Issues Online] Foot and Mouth Disease Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a severe, highly communicable viral disease of cattle and swine. It also affects sheep, goats, deer, and other cloven-hooved ruminants. FMD is not recognized as a zoonotic disease. This country has been free of FMD since 1929, when the last of nine U.S. outbreaks was eradicated. The disease is characterized by fever and blister-like lesions followed by erosions on the tongue and lips, in the mouth, on the teats, and between the hooves. Many affected animals recover, but the disease leaves them debilitated. It causes severe losses in the production of meat and milk. Because it spreads widely and rapidly and because it has grave economic as well as clinical consequences, FMD is one of the animal diseases that livestock owners dread most. What Causes
It There are at least seven separate types and many subtypes of the FMD virus. Immunity to one type does not protect an animal against other types. How It
Spreads
Signs Some of these other signs may appear in affected animals during an FMD outbreak:
Meat animals do not normally regain lost weight for many months. Recovered cows seldom produce milk at their former rates. FMD can lead to myocarditis (inflammation of the muscular walls of the heart) and death, especially in newborn animals. Confusion
With Other Diseases Whenever mouth or feet blisters or other typical signs are observed and reported, laboratory tests must be completed to determine whether the disease causing them is FMD. Where FMD
Occurs Prevention
and Control Animals and animal byproducts from areas known to be infected are prohibited entry into this country. Livestock animals in this country are highly susceptible to FMD viruses. If an outbreak occurred in the United States, this disease could spread rapidly to all sections of the country by routine livestock movements unless it was detected early and eradicated immediately. If FMD were to spread unchecked, the economic impact could reach billions of dollars in the first year. Deer and wildlife populations could become infected rapidly and could be a source for re-infection of livestock. What You
Can Do If FMD should appear in your animals, your report will set in motion an effective State and Federal eradication program. Your participation is vital. Both the early recognition of disease signs and the prompt notification of veterinary officials are essential if eradication is to be carried out successfully. Your warning may prevent FMD from becoming established in the United States, or, if it does spread, reduce the time and money needed to wipe it out. For more information about FMD, contact:
(This information was obtained from the USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service -- APHIS). [This Month in Ag Connection] [Ag Connection - Other Issues Online] Taxation
Tidbits If you have a traditional IRA (Individual Retirement Arrangement) that is invested in the stock market now may be an opportune time to make a conversion to a Roth IRA. You can convert amounts from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA if your modified adjusted gross income is not more than $100,000 and you are not a married individual filing a separate return. Modified adjusted gross income is basically your adjusted gross income, not including the income from the conversion and not including any deductions for traditional IRA contributions or student loan interest. Distributions from a traditional IRA are taxable in the year of distribution. Thus, when you believe the stock market has bottomed, consideration should be given to converting a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA and paying the income tax on the converted amount. In general, any capital growth and accumulated earnings of the Roth IRA can be distributed at a future date without any additional income tax liability. More detailed information relative to converting IRAs is available in the free IRS Publication 590 “Individual Retirement Arrangements”. This publication can be obtained by calling the IRS toll free number 1-800 TAX FORM. (Author: Parman Green, Farm Business Management Specialist) [This Month in Ag Connection] [Ag Connection - Other Issues Online] Tractor Safety
Rules Almost Everyone Violates Wearing
Seatbelts By-Pass
Starting No
Riders PTO
Shields Shut
the engine off and remove the key before dismounting. Timeliness, economic and production decisions sometimes conflict with following safety rules. Don't ever forget that hospital stays and funerals are also expensive, prevent timeliness, affect production and have much longer lasting family impact. (Author: Melvin Brees, Farm Management Specialist) [This Month in Ag Connection] [Ag Connection - Other Issues Online] |
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